Factors Affecting Households Program Keluarga Harapan Recipients in West Sumatra: Binary Logistic Regression Analysis

Abstrak

Poverty is still a complex issues in Indonesia. Poverty rate in West Sumatra province has increased over the past 3 years. One of the government's initiatives to address poverty is the Program Keluarga Harapan (PKH), which is a social protection program that provides conditional cash transfers to poor and vulnerable Keluarga Penerima Manfaat (KPM) on condition that they are registered in the Data Terpadu Kesejahteraan Sosial (DTKS). Although PKH has a positive impact on poverty alleviation and enhanced access to health, education, and social welfare, the implementation still faces major challenges such as data inaccuracies, particularly in targeting accuracy. Therefore, an analysis is needed to determine the factors that significantly affects PKH recipient households in West Sumatra Province. This research used variables from the DTKS variable group contained in SUSENAS 2024 with 11,600 observations consisting of 1,790 receiving PKH and 9,810 not receiving PKH. The dependent variable is PKH recipient status (Yes = 1, no = 0). Data were analyzed using binary logistic regression with a significance level of 5%. Based on the results of the analysis, it can be concluded that floor area of ​​the house, age of the household head, household size, education level of the household head, and floor material of the house have a significantly effect on PKH recipient households. Household size has the most influence on PKH receipt with a 40,3% probability of receiving PKH.